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Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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The Role Of Liquid Crystal Ordering In The Structural Organization Of DNA In Bacteria.

Krupyanskii, Y. F.; Kovalenko, V.; Loiko, N.; Generalova, A.; Tereshkin, E.; Tereshkina, K.; Sokolova, O.; Peters, G.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.31.748243 medRxiv
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This paper presents and critically reviews the results of original and some literature based experimental studies conducted by the authors last years on the structural organization of DNA in dormant (starvation stress), anabiotic dormant (4 HR treatment) E. coli cells, as well as the K12 {Delta}dps strain, which lacks the Dps protein (Dps null E. coli). The experimental data includes small-angle synchrotron radiation diffraction (SAXS) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) data. Synchrotron radiation diffraction experiments on K12{Delta}dps cells allowed us to conclude that peaks at 44.3, 22.1, and 14.8 angstrom resolutions are associated exclusively with ordered DNA organization. Peaks at 44.3, 22.1, and 14.8 angstrom resolutions are also observed for samples of dormant (starvation stress) cells and anabiotically dormant cells. Therefore, this ordered DNA organization also applies to samples of dormant and anabiotically dormant cells. A model is proposed that considers the ordered DNA organization in the cell as a cholesteric liquid crystal. The powder diffraction pattern calculated based on this model is compared with experimental small angle X ray scattering (SAXS) data obtained on Dps-null cell samples. The model completely reproduces the key features of the experimental diffraction pattern from Dps-null cell samples. Accordingly, the cholesteric liquid crystal model corresponds to DNA packaging in dormant and anabiotically dormant cells. Cholesteric liquid crystal ordering should be further considered in all models of cellular DNA packaging. To address the question of which structural organization of DNA predominates in the cell: the cholesteric liquid crystal or nanocrystalline or whether they coexist and fully manifest themselves under different external conditions, it is necessary to utilize the latest methodological advances in structural analysis.

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Quantifying sprint force-velocity elasticity: implications for individualized training decisions

Li, Z.; Yan, J.; Zhang, X.; Chen, Z.; Li, Q.; Jimenez-Reyes, P.; Janicijevic, D.; garcia-ramos, A.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.29.748040 medRxiv
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This study aimed to (1) develop an elasticity framework for the sprint force-velocity (F-V) relationship and (2) examine how maximal force (F_{0}), maximal velocity (v_{0}), and sprint distance modulate the four derived elasticity metrics, and (3) explore these elasticity metrics' interrelation. After modelling the F-V relationship differential equation, four elasticity metrics were defined as force elasticity (F_{e}), the elasticity of sprint time to F_{0}; velocity elasticity (v_{e}), the elasticity of sprint time to v_{0}; the force-velocity elasticity norm {(\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{EN}}=\sqrt{F_{e}^{2}+v_{e}^{2}}), capturing the combined sprint time sensitivity to proportional changes in F_{0} and v_{0}; and the force-velocity elasticity ratio {(\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{ER}}=F_{e}{\div v}_{e}), indicating which variable dominates the sprint time response. Model simulations showed that F_{e} decreased with rising F_{0} and increased with rising v_{0}, while v_{e} showed the opposite pattern. With increasing sprint distance, F_{e} decreased and v_{e} increased. Given its negligible effect on sprint time, ignoring air resistance yields a conservation law (2F_{e}+v_{e}\equiv 1), indicating that a gain in one elasticity metric necessarily diminishes the other in a fixed proportion. This framework also identifies a valley distance (d_{valley}) at {\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{ER}}=2, where {\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{EN}} is minimized (\sqrt{0.2}) and sprint time is least responsive to changes in F-V relationship variables. Empirical data confirmed that the two theoretical laws still hold approximately when air resistance is considered. By linking changes in F_{0} and v_{0} to sprint time across different distances, the elasticity framework provides a quantitative basis for estimating the theoretical sprint time response to documented changes in F-V relationship variables.

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Polarized neutrons for the study of individual and collective fast dynamics in proteins

Nidriche, A.; Ollivier, J.; Stewart, R.; Peters, J.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.30.748099 medRxiv
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Neutron scattering is a powerful technique to investigate atomic structures and molecular dynamics of proteins at the nano-scale. When it comes to dynamics, incoherent and coherent scattering respectively provide information on the single and collective dynamics of nuclei. In proteins, hydrogen has the highest incoherent cross-section, and it is common practice to overlook the contribution of coherent terms stemming from all nuclei. However, the fast collective dynamics of heavier nuclei could also be studied if coherent scattering and incoherent scattering were experimentally separated. The recent advent of polarized neutron spectroscopy with sufficient flux and energy resolution has made it possible, and opens new perspectives to investigate the relative importance of coherent scattering and the information it provides on biological samples. The present study reports on the use of polarized quasi-elastic neutron scattering (QENS) and the application of a minimalistic model adapted to both individual and collective dynamics. Using a perdeuterated green fluorescent protein as a model globular protein, the study provides an interpretation of the dynamical parameters obtained with QENS, and a comparative study of the Elastic Coherent and Incoherent Scattering Factor. Based on both experiments and calculations, we discuss the relative importance of distinct and self components of coherent scattering, which is often wrongly assumed to be representative of collective dynamics only. The results highlight the current impediments rendering complicated a straightforward analysis of fast collective dynamics in hydrated protein samples.

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Predictability failure in glucose-insulin system for ICU patients

Ghosh, D.

2026-09-01 systems biology 10.64898/2026.08.26.747449 medRxiv
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Modern medicine implicitly assumes that physiological responses to intervention are predictably determined by administered treatments. However, physiological systems containing intrinsic delays between the detection of a stimulus and the biological response may violate this assumption. We investigate the human glucose-insulin system as described by the Ultradian model and mathematically demonstrate that clinically relevant forcing protocols-such as pulsatile insulin delivery and step-wise glucose infusion, both commonly used in intensive care units (ICUs)-can induce sustained temporal chaos that may hamper accurate prediction of the physiological response. If not accounted for, these chaotic dynamics could create difficulties in achieving optimal dosing and timing when administering glucose and insulin in clinical or home care settings. This phenomenon, termed delay-induced uncertainty (DIU), arises from the interaction between physiological delay, intrinsic shear near a limit cycle, and external forcing. Using the Ultradian glucose-insulin model, we compute top Lyapunov exponents to quantify predictability. Across a range of pulsatile and step-wise forcing regimes, including stochastic amplitudes drawn from Markov processes, we observe positive Lyapunov exponents, indicating sustained chaos. Our results suggest that delayed endocrine regulation may fundamentally limit the predictive value of the models used to develop glycemic management strategies, with implications for clinical protocols in the ICU.

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A time-delayed mechanochemical feedback model reconciles stable maintenance and dynamic remodeling of cell-matrix adhesions

Matsumoto, E.; Yokoyama, S.; Matsui, T. S.; Araki, T.; Deguchi, S.

2026-08-30 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.28.747716 medRxiv
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Focal adhesions maintain force-bearing attachment between cells and the extracellular matrix but can also undergo dynamic remodeling. Their assembly and actomyosin tension are coupled through mechanochemical feedback. The processes underlying this feedback are not instantaneous and therefore involve a time delay. However, how this delayed feedback gives rise to stable adhesion maintenance or dynamic remodeling remains unclear. Here, paired time-lapse measurements of vinculin fluorescence and traction stress revealed distinct local adhesion-force dynamics, including low-fluctuation and recurrent fluctuation patterns. To examine how these patterns could arise, we formulated a minimal mechanochemical model coupling focal adhesion assembly and actomyosin force through delayed reciprocal feedback. The model exhibited stable and oscillatory modes depending on feedback strength, the balance of opposing feedback effects, and the effective feedback delay. Bistability and hysteretic switching also occurred in a subset of parameter space, and the oscillation period followed a power-law relation with the delay. These results suggest that stable adhesion maintenance and dynamic remodeling can emerge from a common mechanochemical feedback architecture.

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A thermodynamic framework for mapping elastic recoil mechanism across the human proteome

Desai, R.; Pople, D.; Musale, A.; Jain, S.; Sajjad, I.; Wittebort, R. J.; Koder, R. L.; Nanda, V.

2026-08-30 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.28.747957 medRxiv
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The folding thermodynamics of proteins are dominated by two opposing forces, the loss in backbone entropy and the packing of hydrophobic groups. The same forces are major contributors to the extension thermodynamics of elastic proteins with the distinction that both processes act in concert, favoring the higher chain and solvent entropy of a relaxed conformation. The relative entropic contributions specify the recoil mechanism; human elastin recoil is primarily driven by hydrophobic forces, whereas fly resilin has a rubber-like mechanism driven by backbone entropy. Despite the importance of elastic proteins to tissue biomechanics, few have been identified, let alone characterized to the same extent as elastin and resilin. We develop a thermodynamic framework that maps proteins by sequence-derived estimates of extension-induced backbone and solvent entropy changes. Putative elastic proteins are proposed and classified by recoil mechanism based on estimated thermodynamic features. Proteins that map to elastic regions are overrepresented by the skin proteome. The set of predicted elastic domains is further extended by incorporating sequence context embedded in protein language models. Protein domains with distinct thermodynamic recoil mechanisms cluster on the latent space manifold. Some of these domains are anticipated to have roles within molecular machines, expanding the scope of elastic protein function beyond mechanical materials like elastin and resilin.

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The interaction between NC(p7)1-55 and p6 may regulate interactions with nucleic acids during assembly through modulation of Gag folding.

LARUE, V.; Nonin-Lecomte, S.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.28.747767 medRxiv
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We present the solution structures of HIV-1 proteins NC(p7)1-55 corresponding to the full-length NC(p7) and mature p6. The studies were carried in water and, to mimic the membrane, in micellar DPC (Dodecylphosphocholine) conditions. Our results unravel for the first time the structure adopted by the N-terminal amino acids of the free NC(p7)1-55, with the formation of a small helix spanning residues F6 to R10. Our NMR and Fluorescence Anisotropy data disclose an interaction between NC(p7)1-55 and p6 both in water and DPC, with respective Kd of 2.5mM and 370 mM at 23{degrees}C. The interaction is thus strengthened in lipidic conditions. Protein p6 stabilizes the N-terminus of NC(p7)1-55 while increasing at the same time the dynamic of the first zinc finger. Although the entire p6 sequence is involved in the interaction, we show that its C-terminal region is particularly sensitive to the presence of NC(p7)1-55, with a propensity of forming a a helix ranging from amino acids S111 to F116. This study brings experimental evidence of a direct protein-protein interaction between p6 and the N-terminal region of NC(p7)1-55. We further show that such interaction is readily accommodated within the NC(p15) framework and hypothesize that it may facilitate the selective assembly of assembly of the viral genomic RNA (gRNA) in the cell.

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Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Dynamical Gene Regulatory Networks

Pizarro Galleguillos, F.; Bhonsale, S.; VAN IMPE, J.

2026-09-01 synthetic biology 10.64898/2026.08.31.747806 medRxiv
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The dynamics of gene regulatory networks are governed by intrinsic noise, stemming from the random nature of biochemical reactions, and by extrinsic noise, arising from fluctuations in cellular components and environmental conditions. Together, these sources can compromise the reliability of predictive computational models if not properly accounted for, and capturing both effects within a single framework remains a non-trivial task in computational biology. In this work, we propose an uncertainty quantification framework that addresses these two contributions jointly: intrinsic stochasticity is described through a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE) for the protein probability density function, whereas extrinsic noise is represented as parametric uncertainty in the kinetic parameters. The propagation of the uncertainty is carried out via an intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (PCE), in which the PCE coefficients are obtained from a stochastic Galerkin projection of the PIDE, yielding a coupled deterministic system that is solved with standard numerical methods. We illustrate the approach on a positive autoregulatory gene network with one and two uncertain kinetic parameters. The proposed approach accurately reproduces the mean, variance, and full protein probability density function, including the bimodal distributions, at a substantially lower computational cost.

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Stochastic Biophysics of Cellular Radiosensitivity: From Molecular Noise and Repair Kinetics to Evolutionary Demographics

Tugrul, M.; Kara, M.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.30.748070 medRxiv
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Radiation-induced DNA double-strand breaks (DSBs) drive cellular mortality, mutagenesis, and severe evolutionary bottlenecks. While classical phenomenological models, such as the Linear-Quadratic (LQ) framework, reliably predict macroscopic population survival, they obscure the intrinsic single-cell stochasticity that governs critical rare events like tumor recurrence or the emergence of radioresistant persisters. To bridge this divide, we develop a mathematically exact stochastic differential equation (SDE) framework that models continuous DSB induction and repair as a Feller square-root process. By deriving exact closed-form expressions for the foci moments, we establish a highly efficient Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) pipeline that circumvents computationally exhaustive Monte Carlo simulations, allowing the direct extraction of deterministic repair velocities and intrinsic molecular noise from empirical single-cell $\gamma$-H2AX data. Integrating this kinetic model with a cumulative damage hazard via the Feynman-Kac formalism, our framework seamlessly recovers the classic macroscopic LQ survival topology from microscopic first principles. Furthermore, systematic sensitivity analysis uncovers a fundamental evolutionary duality: while initial physical damage operates additively, ultimate cellular fate is driven by a nonlinear survival response governed by the trade-off between the damage hazard rate and intrinsic molecular noise strength. Crucially, we demonstrate that this molecular noise inherently enhances population survival. Governed by Jensen's inequality, stochastic variance acts as a non-genetic bet-hedging mechanism that buffers the population by favoring cells with transiently low damage loads. Ultimately, this exact stochastic framework bridges microscopic biophysics and macroscopic demographics, offering deep mechanistic insights into the evolutionary roots of radioresistance.

10
Topological Closure Drives Structural Stabilization and Fast Cooperative Dynamics in Crowded Circular Polysomes

Kobayashi, H.; V. Guzman, H.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.31.748270 medRxiv
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In linear polysomes, excluded-volume interactions among ribosomes can induce dimensional reduction of mRNA. Yet linear architectures allow steric stress to relax at open ends-- limiting how strongly crowding can remodel the mRNA's structure and dynamics. Using coarse-grained molecular-dynamics simulations, we compare circular and linear polysomes over a range of ribosome densities. Circular closure selects a predominantly quasi-planar global conformational ensemble, as indicated by a shape dimensionality dshape {approx} 2 over a range of ribosome densities. Crucially, circular topology and ribosome crowding act cooperatively to suppress structural fluctuations. While closure alone or linear crowding reduces relative global size fluctuations ({Delta}Rg/Rg) only to {approx} 0.16, their combined effect drives this fluctuation down to {approx} 0.07. Within this stabilized architecture, increasing ribosome density drives a distinct in-plane reorganization: the ring becomes more isotropic, global size fluctuations are strongly suppressed, and the scaling exponent increases toward {nu} [~=] 0.74 - 0.77, consistent with two-dimensional self-avoiding walk-like value over the accessible finite-size window, 1000 [≤] N [≤] 4969. Closure shortens the radius-of-gyration decorrelation time of circular polysomes by 40-fold relative to matched linear systems, reflecting the topological elimination of free ends. Within this closureselected ensemble, ribosome crowding further reduces the decorrelation time by up to 20% at the highest density. A fluctuation-informed crossover model links the density dependence of the global scaling exponent to inter-ribosomal subchain statistics. These results distinguish the geometric role of circular closure from the density-dependent steric response that it enables, revealing a confined yet dynamically responsive conformational regime for circular polysomes.

11
Data coverage and model formulation reshape quantitative interpretations of bacterial transcriptional regulation

Kuo, S.-T. A.; Hsu, C.-P.; Chou, H.-H. D.

2026-09-01 systems biology 10.64898/2026.08.31.748186 medRxiv
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Thermodynamic models quantitatively describe interactions between transcription machinery and bacterial promoters. Contrary to conventional understanding, model analysis by Parisutham et al. (2025) attributes transcriptional inhibition by repressors to overstabilization of the RNA polymerase-promoter complex rather than prevention of its formation. Moreover, it suggests an inverse scaling relationship between basal promoter strength and transcriptional fold change, applicable to both repressor- and activator-mediated regulation. To reevaluate findings from this study, we systematically analyze empirical data and compare its framework with conventional thermodynamic models. In contrast to the inverse scaling relationship, data across multiple sources exhibit a peaked tradeoff between basal promoter strength and fold change, underscoring the importance of broad data coverage in revealing the full pattern required for reliable model inference. Furthermore, we identify the model assumption responsible for the apparent inverse scaling and misinterpretation of regulatory mechanisms. Relaxing this assumption enables the model to capture the peaked tradeoff and yield inferences consistent with established mechanisms of transcriptional repression and activation. We further derive a mathematical solution that connects basal expression to fold change for both repressor- and activator-regulated promoters. Our results underscore the importance of broad data coverage to avoid a blind-men-and-elephant interpretation and establish basal promoter strength as a key design parameter governing transcriptional regulation.

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Burden of fatigue in compensated chronic liver disease: findings from the multinational a:GAP Study

Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.

2026-09-02 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361618 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [≥]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.

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GLP-1/GIP Uptake, Indication, and Access Pathways Among US Adults in the Understanding America Study

Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.

2026-09-02 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361368 medRxiv
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.

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Glaucoma and Diabetes Mellitus: A Comparative Evaluation of Comorbid Effect on Tear Quantity among Patients in Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.

Chukwuoha, C. M.; Ovenseri-Ogbomo, G.; Azuamah, Y. C.; Odimegwu, N. E.; Obioma-Elemba, J. E.; Ugwoke, G.; Nkeremuzor, E. C.; Eronini, Y.; Ikoro, N. C.; Esenwah, E. C.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361782 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: Glaucoma is a chronic disorder that impairs ocular health and may exacerbate ocular surface disease leading to tear film instability, dry eye symptoms and decreased quality of life. This study compared changes in tear quantity among glaucoma subjects living with and without diabetes mellitus, attending an eye clinic in Nigeria. Methods: A comparative cross sectional research design was used. 157 subjects which comprised 74 glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus and 83 glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus participated in the study. Tear quantity assessment included the Schirmer I test and tear meniscus height (TMH) measurement. Descriptive statistics, independent samples t-test and Chi-square test were used to examine the data at 0.05 level of significance. Results: Glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus showed substantially decreased tear production (11.4 +/- 6.8 mm) compared with glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus (19.6 +/- 9.6 mm; p < 0.001). Tear meniscus height in glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus (0.8 +/- 0.3 mm) was significantly greater than in subjects living without diabetes mellitus (0.7 +/- 0.3 mm; p = 0.034). Conclusion: Diabetes mellitus dramatically deteriorates the ocular surface function in glaucoma subjects by decreasing tear production, altering the tear meniscus height and increasing the severity of ocular surface symptoms. Routine glaucoma care, especially in patients with diabetes mellitus, should include a full ocular surface evaluation including Schirmer I test, TBUT, TMH, and OSDI assessment to allow early detection and management of ocular surface disease, better treatment adherence, and improved visual outcomes. Keywords: Glaucoma, Diabetes Mellitus, Tear production, Tear Meniscus Height, Ocular Surface Disease.

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Non-inferior survival and enhanced longevity with initial low-dose versus full-dose enzalutamide: a single-centre real-world prostate cancer study

Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.

2026-09-02 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361616 medRxiv
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [&le;]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [&le;]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [&le;]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.

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Cross-System Meta-Analysis of Machine Learning Predictors Identifies Value-Specific Risk Drivers and Interactions Underlying Acute Kidney Injury

Chan, H. Y.; Li, D.; Yu, A. S. L.; Kellum, J. A.; Fuhrman, D. Y.; Xu, Q.; Chrischilles, E. A.; Cowell, L. G.; Chandaka, S.; Anzalone, A. J.; Kean, J.; McTigue, K. M.; Mosa, A. S. M.; Taylor, B.; Syed, M.; Waitman, L. R.; Hu, Y.; Liu, M.

2026-09-02 nephrology 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361849 medRxiv
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Background: Current understanding of acute kidney injury (AKI) risk factors remains largely descriptive, offering limited precision into how specific biomarker values or physiologic thresholds influence susceptibility. We aimed to synthesize knowledge from machine learning models trained across multiple health systems to identify generalizable, value-specific risk drivers and biomarker interactions contributing to AKI risk. Methods: We analyzed electronic health records (EHRs) from 785,497 adult inpatients between 2010 and 2019 across nine U.S. academic medical centers within PCORnet. Interpretable gradient boosting machine models were independently developed at each health system to quantify predictor-outcome associations. Meta-regression was applied to integrate these site-level results, characterize nonlinear value-risk relationships, and identify bivariate interactions between predictors. Results: Meta-analysis revealed consistent, value-specific risk drivers across health systems. An increase in glucose from 100 mg/dL to 140 mg/dL was associated with a 1.46-fold higher risk of AKI. Chloride and anion gap also demonstrated elevated AKI risk with risk increases overlapping portions of their reference ranges, with anion gap showing a 1.14-fold increase across 4-12 mmol/L and chloride a 1.28-fold increase across 96-100 mEq/L. Electrolytes including potassium, calcium, and sodium showed quadratic associations with AKI risk. Bivariate meta-regression identified interactions between key predictors, highlighting pathways that jointly modulate AKI risk. Conclusion: This cross-system meta-analysis synthesizes machine learning-derived evidence into clinically interpretable knowledge, revealing how specific biomarker ranges and interactions modulate AKI risk. By moving beyond surface-level associations to quantitative, generalizable physiologic thresholds, these findings provide actionable insights to enhance risk stratification and personalized prevention in hospital care.

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Maternal cell-free RNA versus combined screening for first-trimester prediction of early-onset preeclampsia: a nested case-control study

Satorres-Perez, E.; Castillo-Marco, N.; Igual, M.; Cordero, T.; Munoz-Blat, I.; Monfort-Ortiz, R.; Marcos-Puig, B.; Simon, C.; Garrido-Gomez, T.; Perales-Marin, A.

2026-09-02 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361628 medRxiv
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Background. In Europe, first-trimester combined screening with the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm identifies women at increased risk of preeclampsia who may benefit from personalized aspirin prophylaxis. However, a substantial proportion of early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE) remains undetected at clinically acceptable specificity. Objective. To evaluate the first-trimester performance of MaiRa for early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE) risk stratification by benchmarking it against FMF screening in the same women, characterizing discordant patient-level classification profiles and exploring potential implementation strategies. Study Design. This secondary case-control analysis was nested within the prospective, multicentre PREMOM cohort [NCT04990141], which enrolled women with singleton pregnancies across 14 tertiary hospitals in Spain. First-trimester MaiRa and FMF risk estimates were evaluated in the same 126 pregnant women, comprising 99 uncomplicated controls and 27 EOPE cases, defined by disease onset before 34 weeks. Discrimination was compared using a stratified paired bootstrap analysis of the areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic curves. Performance was assessed at prespecified clinical thresholds, and detection rates were evaluated at fixed false-positive rates. Universal and contingent MaiRa implementation strategies were also evaluated. Results. MaiRa showed greater first-trimester discrimination for EOPE than FMF combined screening (AUC, 0.974 vs 0.900; P=.040) and consistently achieved higher detection rates across fixed false-positive rates. At false-positive rates of 5% and 10%, MaiRa detected 85.2% and 92.6% of EOPE cases, compared with 44.4% and 70.4% for FMF, respectively. Patient-level analysis demonstrated that MaiRa identified 12 of 27 EOPE cases (44.4%) classified as low risk by FMF; these pregnancies generally exhibited less abnormal conventional first-trimester profiles, including fewer maternal risk factors, lower mean arterial pressure and lower uterine artery pulsatility index, yet 8 of 12 (66.7%) subsequently developed severe EOPE. Exploratory implementation analyses showed that universal MaiRa screening achieved the highest EOPE detection, whereas a contingent strategy using FMF for triage and reflex MaiRa testing reduced molecular testing to 35.7% of pregnancies while maintaining 77.8% sensitivity and 97.0% specificity. Conclusion. MaiRa provided greater first-trimester discrimination for EOPE than conventional combined screening and detected additional pregnancies that later developed severe disease despite less abnormal conventional screening profiles. The findings suggest that maternal plasma cfRNA profiling captures biological alterations not fully reflected by combined first-trimester screening and support further prospective evaluation in an independent, unselected obstetric population. Key words: early-onset preeclampsia; first-trimester screening; cell-free RNA; liquid biopsy; Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm; combined screening; risk stratification; aspirin prophylaxis.

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Measuring Positive Stress Appraisal Among Nursing Students: Development and Psychometric Evaluation of the Nursing Student Positive Stress Scale (NSPSS)

Yan, H.; O'Brien, A. J.; Yoon, S. H.; Shaw, V.; vakavosaki, k.

2026-09-02 nursing 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361779 medRxiv
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Background: Stress research in nursing education has largely focused on distress, stressors, and negative outcomes, although challenging experiences may also support motivation, confidence, learning, and growth when appraised positively. Objective: To develop and evaluate the psychometric properties of the Nursing Student Positive Stress Scale (NSPSS). Design: A methodological instrument development and psychometric evaluation study. Methods: The NSPSS was developed using a deductive, theory-driven approach informed by the transactional theory of stress and coping and positive psychology perspectives. Content validity was assessed by an international nursing expert panel. Psychometric evaluation used national survey data from nursing students in New Zealand. Of 539 responses, 507 were analysed. Exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) were conducted using separate subsamples. Internal consistency was assessed using Cronbach's alpha and McDonald's omega, and convergent validity through correlation with Perceived Stress Scale-10 scores. Results: Content validity was strong (I-CVI = .88-1.00; S-CVI/Ave = .975; S-CVI/UA = .800). EFA identified a dominant factor explaining 41.38% of variance (loadings = .528-.735). CFA supported a two-context Academic and Clinical Positive Stress model with correlated residuals between five parallel item pairs, chi-square(29) = 60.49, CFI = .970, TLI = .954, RMSEA = .063, SRMR = .065. Internal consistency was good (alpha = .839; omega = .843). NSPSS scores correlated negatively with PSS-10 scores (r = -.298, p < .001). Conclusion: The NSPSS demonstrated strong content validity, preliminary evidence of structural and convergent validity, and good internal consistency reliability for assessing positive stress appraisal among nursing students. Further validation in independent samples is warranted.

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Optimizing Aqueous Humor Liquid Biopsy: Safety and Performance of a Short, Low-Dead-Space Ophthalmic Needle for Anterior Chamber Paracentesis

Singh, A. M.; Yeh, T.-C.; DeBoer, C.; Al-Moujahed, A.; Lin, J. B.; Smith, S. J.; Sanislo, S.; Janjua, K. A.; Lin, T.-C.; Almeida, D. R. P.; Mruthyunjaya, P.; Mahajan, V. B.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361364 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate the safety, procedural performance, sample recovery, and surgeon preference of an ophthalmic needle designed specifically for anterior chamber (AC) paracentesis. Methods: In this multicenter study, AC paracentesis was performed in clinic and operating-room settings using a 32-gauge x 4-mm needle with low dead space. The procedure was evaluated using a standardized physician survey. Prespecified outcomes included procedure-related adverse events (primary outcome), needle entry and handling, aspiration and sample recovery, comparative performance versus a 30-gauge needle, and physician preference for future use. Results: A total of 110 needle uses by eight surgeons were included. No ocular complications occurred, including lens or iris injury, hyphema, AC collapse, wound leak, hypotony, infection, or retinal complication, and no procedure required needle exchange or conversion to another device. Two technical events without ocular sequelae were noted, in which needle entry was partial thickness and did not reach the AC (1.8%; exact 95% CI, 0.2%-6.4%). Physicians rated needle entry, handling and sample recovery as good or excellent. Compared with a 30-gauge needle, the study needle was rated as at least comparable across all assessed domains. All surgeons rated it better or much better for intra-procedural safety and preferred it for future AC taps. Conclusions and Relevance: This short, 32-gauge low-dead-space ophthalmic needle demonstrated a favorable safety profile and was preferred over a 30-gauge needle by all surgeons. As aqueous humor liquid biopsy expands in clinical diagnostics and trials, an ophthalmic-specific needle design may help improve the consistency and safety of aqueous humor collection for molecular analysis and broader clinical use. Keywords: Anterior chamber paracentesis; Aqueous humor; Liquid biopsy; Low dead space; Ophthalmic needle